SYDNEY AND MELBOURNE HOUSE PRICES will soon be Growing at DOUBLE-DIGIT Rates …

IT would seem that is what DOMAIN, the property sector wants

CONTRARY to this … as reported by Dr Jim Stanford, the chief economist with The Centre for Future Work, if you count the marginally attached; the unemployment rate would be a touch under 12 per cent

include the “underemployed” – people working some hours, but who would like to work more – the unemployment rate tops 19.7 per cent

VIEW:   ‘The One Million Australians Forgotten in the Unemployment Statistics’

https://caanhousinginequalitywithaussieslockedout.com/2019/10/18/forgotten-australians-the-hidden-data-that-could-double-our-jobless-rate/?fbclid=IwAR3ah2MxFUqH4lLjMgQk2Z_oBJFpPhVXTlB87Erj15xpuydSbVW5TMOcwaU

AND this is how a Commentator sums it up!

There has been an increase in part time workers, no wage growth above CPI, squeezing of available credit facilities, collapse in Australian equities, falling AUD compounded by falling demand in Australian commodities.

The lack of any serious economic reform by this turgid coalition, refusal to release funds to stimulate economy, refusal by this elected joke called Government to fairly spread the tax burden will mean the good punters in Sydney and Melbourne are going to find themselves out of pocket and mortgaged locked in indebted, negatively priced housing.

But the answer is simple…..add another 300,000 migrants a year. As before 98.8% will move to one of two cities, prop up the real estate and further ghetto-ise once pleasant places.

But taking a leaf out of the Morrison/Hockey playbook …. Jesus provides, just get a better paying job all you leaners and you can maybe compete against the wash of international arrivals.
Best of luck.’

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Sydney and Melbourne house prices will soon be growing at double-digit rates

Shane Wright
By Shane Wright

October 18, 2019

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Sydney and Melbourne house prices will be growing at more than 12 per cent per annum by the middle of next year, one of the nation’s largest banks has forecast as the Reserve Bank talks up the chances of the economy recovering in 2020.

Economists with the ANZ believe a change in sentiment along with cuts in interest rates and the federal government’s income tax reductions will super-charge Sydney and Melbourne to a point they will effectively wipe out the price falls recorded between 2017 and early this year.

Sydney dwelling prices rose by 75 per cent between 2012 and 2017 while over the same period they increased by 58 per cent in Melbourne. They then fell 15 per cent and 11 per cent respectively until June.

Sydney and Melbourne house prices will be growing at double-digit rates by the middle of next year, according to the ANZ.
Sydney and Melbourne house prices will be growing at double-digit rates by the middle of next year, according to the ANZ.CREDIT:JESSICA SHAPIRO

ANZ believes that by the end of this year, Sydney and Melbourne prices will be up by 3 per cent.

By the middle of next year, they will be growing at an annual rate of 12 per cent and 13 per cent respectively.

By year’s end, a combination of tighter credit and improved supply will mean price growth will come back a little but will still be 7 per cent in Sydney and 9 per cent in Melbourne.

ANZ senior economist Felicity Emmett said the property markets of the two cities were re-bounding much quicker than expected.

Auction clearance rates bottomed out in December and have been rising since. But the improvement became much more marked from May onwards,” she said.

“The change in sentiment was driven by the combination of lower rates, easier access to credit, and increased certainty around housing taxation. Together, these factors have helped to shift sentiment from one of pervasive negativity to broad optimism.”

The Reserve Bank restarted interest rate cuts on June 5. Since then, dwelling values as measured by CoreLogic have increased by 7.2 per cent in Sydney and 7 per cent in Melbourne.

The lift in prices, however, will come at a longer term cost with household debt levels likely to increase while affordability will fall.

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“As prices recover, we expect affordability, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne, to decline,” Ms Emmett said.

Financial markets have pushed back expectations the Reserve Bank will cut interest rates this year.

RBA Governor Philip Lowe, speaking in the United States on Friday, suggested taking rates any lower would fail to deliver major economic benefits and probably feed into prices for assets like housing.

“In my view we’re now clearly in the world of diminishing returns to monetary easing,” he said.

“If that’s right, then the solution to the problem lies elsewhere. That’s creating an environment that encourages investments.”

“Without progress on this front, the main effect of lower interest rates is to push up the price of existing assets, rather than encouraging investments in new assets, which is what’s needed.”

Dr Lowe downplayed suggestions the bank had a “lot more work” to get the economy growing at trend and inflation back within the RBA’s 2-3 per cent target.

“The economy has been through a very soft patch over the past year but it is actually gradually improving, the lower interest rates are working,” he said.

Shane Wright

Shane is a senior economics correspondent for The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald.

Sydney and Melbourne house prices will be growing at double-digit rates by the middle of next year, according to the ANZ.

SOURCE: https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/sydney-and-melbourne-house-prices-will-soon-be-growing-at-double-digit-rates-20191018-p531z3.html

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