Melbourne and Sydney suburbs at ‘tipping point’ as population soars

FROM THE COMMENTS … MOST ARE OVER THE HIGH IMMIGRATION

SARCASM

-apparently mass immigration population growth is something that can’t be stopped

-esp. when you and your donors and vested interests want it to prop and pump up your income

-at everybody else’s expense

-New York and London are seriously vibrant, smart and connected; Australians leave for these cities and don’t want to come back

-Sydney and Melbourne are force fed bland and crowded with low and semi-skilled workers and multi millionaire imports mainly from the Third World in greater numbers than the U.S.

– Melbourne and Sydney will be more like crowded low productivity Asian cities than New York or London. New York has the highest GDP per worker in the world by a mile at US$172,000 

AND …

what happens is the immigrants move in to these suburbs and the original residents are overwhelmed with the changes happening … that they are more likely to move to regional areas

-with Sydney’s geographical and resources limitations ideally having a max of 2 million people it has now turned into a dump because of unchecked immigration, and poor planning

-and myopic political vision catering to big business need for a third world workforce

-Sydney now ranks very low in the global cities liveability index; now in freefall in quality of life and housing affordability

-even tourists now shun Sydney due to congestion and expensive costs

View the comments … the majority are opposed to the growth agenda apart from a few developer lobby commentators …

Melbourne and Sydney suburbs at ‘tipping point’ as population soars

By Eryk Bagshaw and Shane Wright

August 16, 2019

View all comments

Five Melbourne and Sydney suburbs grew at more than six times the national average over the past decade, pumping residents into the inner-city, north-west and western suburbs of both cities, amid claims the federal government’s plan to push more migrants to the regions is doomed to fail.

New figures show Parklea in Sydney grew by 200 per cent over the past decade. Tarneit in Melbourne doubled that, adding almost 30,000 residents over the same period of time.

VIEW SOURCE LINK FOR VIDEO: The populations of Sydney and Melbourne have swelled over last decade, increasing pressure on infrastructure and transport.

The populations of Sydney and Melbourne have swelled over last decade, increasing pressure on infrastructure and transport.

Between 2017 and 2018 alone, Riverstone and Leppington in western Sydney beat the decade figure for the rest of the country of 16 per cent, adding 20 per cent to their populations of more than 20,000 in a single year.

Mickleham in Melbourne’s north grew by a staggering 50 per cent in 2017-18 while to the south-east Cranbourne’s population has soared by 21 per cent.

Deputy director at the Australian Urban Design Research Centre, Julian Bolleter, said the notion of the 1980s and 1990s that people would move out of the cities and work from home via their laptop had so far failed to materialise.

Choked

NSW population increases by suburb 2006-2016

VIEW SOURCE LINK FOR TOWNS INDICATED ON THIS MAP!

Dr Bolleter said most of the nation’s GDP was generated out of a few city blocks in the major capitals, forcing many Australians to crowd into the inner city or inner suburbs.

If that trend continued, there would come a time for which governments had to now start planning.

“There’s going to come a tipping point where people will just get sick of the congestion and the pollution and the problems.

In Sydney and Melbourne, we could be getting to that tipping point now,” he said.

Maybe Newcastle and Wollongong or Geelong, where you get the right coastal amenity and which aren’t as expensive as Sydney or Melbourne, with the right transport links, could take pressure off Sydney and Melbourne.”

Dr Bolleter said before Sydney and Melbourne became “mega-cities”, which are cities with more than 10 million residents, planning for high speed rail links or even technology such as trackless trams had to start now.

Melbourne’s population growth

Percentage growth from 2006 to 2016 

-20% 100%+ SOURCE: ABS

VIEW SOURCE LINK for details on map

The government is set to ramp up its efforts to push more migrants to the regions desperate for more workers as strain grows on inner-city infrastructure.

This week the government announced the first immigration inquiry in 30 years. It will examine methods to attract and keep migrants in areas such as Shepparton in Victoria or Wagga Wagga NSW, more councils are expected to be given visa sponsorship powers, while tax concessions for businesses moving to regional areas have also been floated.

Bernard Baffour from the Australian National University’s School of Demography said there have been many policies to direct people away from the cities and into regional areas and “none of them have worked”.

“New policies are probably going to continue to fail unless there is a major discussion about how to make regional areas more attractive places to live and work in,” he said.

Dr Baffour said while major cities may be plagued by congestion or a poorer quality of life than regional centres they continued to be attractive because of the employment opportunities and social networks they offered.

He cited New York and London as examples of cities that were complained about but continued to grow.

“People just want to live in the capital cities and you have to expect that’s what is going to continue to happen,” he said.

VIEW SOURCE LINK FOR AERIAL PHOTOS OF LEPPINGTON

Leppington 2006 and 2019

Source: Google Earth

Eryk Bagshaw

Eryk Bagshaw is an economics correspondent for The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age.

Shane Wright

Shane is a senior economics correspondent for The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald.

An aerial view of the Bays Precinct area

PHOTO: The NSW Government said over 725,000 houses must be built in Sydney in the next 20 years. (Supplied: NSW Government) … whose idea? Cough … cough … ABC: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-11/nsw-election-puts-spotlight-on-sydney-development/10887366

SOURCE: https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/melbourne-and-sydney-suburbs-at-tipping-point-as-population-soars-20190815-p52hiv.html#comments

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